USA NG Production: 62+ bcfd by mid-summer... really?

I've been hearing that gas production in the U.S. is supposed to reach 62 bcfd by midsummer.  If that's truly the case, then we have a long wait for any signs of tightening... hmmm...

USA Rig Counts Since 1991

A lot of information in this little chart.  The nice relationship between gas rigs and dry production just isn't what it used to be...